Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 10th, 2018–Dec 11th, 2018

Alpine

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Alpine

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Alpine

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable

Treeline

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable

Below Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Little Yoho.

A storm is coming, and it has already started to accumulate in Little Yoho. This new snow will be great for ski conditions, but will make for touchy avalanche conditions as it lands on facets and surface hoar.

Weather Forecast

Finally, snow is in the forecast! We should see light snow starting on Tuesday with only small accumulations ~ 5cms. An additional 10-15 cms by Wednesday PM and up to 40 cms by Thursday. The greatest amounts will be west of the divide. Temperatures should remain cold throughout, but winds will be strong W/SW with the highest on Tuesday and Thurs

Snowpack Summary

5-10 cm of new snow is covering up widespread surface hoar and facets in most places. In exposed alpine areas, old wind slabs 10-40 cm deep linger in immediate lees. The October 26th crust/facet layer is ~30 cm above ground. In many areas the entire snowpack is faceting and becoming quite weak. Snow depths range from 50-85 cm at 2000 m.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches reported or observed today, but as recently as Saturday someone triggered a nasty looking size 2 on the SE slopes of Cirque Fore-Peak at 2700m above Helen Lake. Two skiers were caught on the flanks of a slab 20-40cm deep, 80m wide, running up to 250m with no burial but they some lost equipment.

Confidence

Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

5-10cm of new snow with an additional 5-10 cm of snow forecasted on Tuesday will start to create touchy new windslabs in alpine lees. These new windslabs are burying some old, stubborn windslabs that have been sporadically reactive over the last week

If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.Avoid freshly wind loaded features.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 1.5

Deep Persistent Slabs

It is still possible to trigger this layer but it will be in isolated, steep spots and often adjacent to thin rocky areas. Be cautious in steep terrain where a stiffer, more cohesive slab exists over the weak faceted snow at the base of the snowpack.

Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.Whumpfing is direct evidence of a buried instability.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 2