Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Apr 1st, 2017 3:50PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Storm Slabs, Persistent Slabs and Loose Wet.

Avalanche Canada cgarritty, Avalanche Canada

The snowpack still hasn't adjusted to spring weather at high elevations. Keep your guard up and an eye on overhead hazards while persistent slab problems are still in play.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate -

Weather Forecast

Saturday night: Isolated flurries with a trace to 5 cm of new snow. Light to moderate southwest winds. Sunday: Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries with a trace of new snow. Light northwest winds. Freezing level to 1500 metres with alpine temperatures around -6.Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. Light northwest winds. Freezing level to 1700 metres with alpine temperatures around -5.Tuesday: Cloudy with sunny periods. Light south winds. Freezing level to 1800 metres with alpine temperatures around -4.

Avalanche Summary

Reports from Friday showed several recent (12-36 hour old) persistent slab releases to Size 3 with natural storm slab and cornice triggers. Two of these occurred on southeast aspects. Improved visibility also revealed evidence of numerous storm slabs and wind slabs having released from Size 2-3 over the same time period. Natural loose wet slides were also observed running up to Size 2.5 from steep, solar terrain.Reports from Thursday include numerous observations of storm slabs and wind slabs releasing naturally, with natural cornice falls, skier traffic as well as with ski cutting and explosives control as triggers. Sizes ranged from 1-2.5 and crown fractures generally from 30-60 cm in depth. Northeast to northwest aspects were the most active.On Wednesday, storm slabs proved reactive and ran naturally up to Size 2.5 with a couple larger Size 3 and 3.5. Storm slabs were also reportedly reactive to skier triggers up to size 1.5 at treeline elevations.

Snowpack Summary

About 10 cm of new snow fell over Friday night and Saturday morning, burying a temperature crust at about 1900 metres and below as well as sun crust all the way into the alpine on most solar aspects. The new snow brings recent storm snow totals at upper elevations to 40-60 cm. This storm snow is dry up high and moist at 1800 m and below. 90-130 cm of accumulated snow now overlies a rain crust below 2000 m and sun crust on solar aspects at higher elevations. New wind slabs are developing on leeward slopes and behind terrain features and large, fragile cornices exist along ridgelines. At higher elevations, the February weak layers are down 150-190 cm and woke up during last week's storm with many avalanches stepping down to them. The deep mid-December facet layer and November rain crust both still linger near the bottom of the snowpack and a few avalanches and cornice falls have also stepped down to these layers last week resulting in some very large full depth avalanches. These layers remain a real concern while touchier wind slabs, storm slabs, and cornices continue to present the risk of acting as triggers for deeper weaknesses.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
Recent snow and wind have formed storm slabs that may remain reactive to human triggering on Sunday. This problem is more pronounced in wind affected areas at higher elevations, so be vigilant for signs of recent wind loading.
Be especially careful with wind loaded pockets near ridge crests and roll-overs.Minimize your exposure to sun exposed slopes if the sun comes out.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 3

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs
Large, destructive avalanches have recently been reported running on deeply buried weak layers. Cornice fall and smaller storm slab avalanches have been common triggers for these slides, which have the potential to reach the end of runout zones.
Avoid lingering in runout zones.Cornices or smaller slab avalanches could step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

2 - 4

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet
Daytime warming and/or solar radiation may deteriorate the surface of the snowpack at lower elevations and on solar aspects. Snow that becomes moist will have the tendency to sluff from steep terrain, either naturally or with a human trigger.
Use extra caution on slopes if the snow is moist or wet.Avoid exposure to terrain traps where the consequences of a small avalanche could be serious.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 3

Valid until: Apr 2nd, 2017 2:00PM