Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Glacier.
An incoming storm will bring new snow, warm temps and increased winds.
As the storm progresses the avalanche danger will rise.
Confidence
Moderate
Weather Summary
An active weather pattern is developing with a juicy storm on the horizon.
Tonight Cloudy with flurries, Snow: trace . Alpine low -7°C. Ridge winds SW 25km/hr
Fri Flurries. 9cm. Alp high -6°C. Ridge wind SW 25-40km/h. Freezing level (FZL) 1300m.
Sat Snow! 29 cms. Alp high -3°C. Ridge wind SW 30 gusting 55. FZL rising to 1600m.
Sun Periods of snow, 11cms. Alp high -3°C. Ridge wind SW 20km/h, gusting 85. FZL 1500m.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Watch for fresh storm slabs building throughout the day.
- Storm slab size and sensitivity to triggering will likely increase through the day.
Avalanche Problems
Storm Slabs
Fresh snow and moderate to strong winds will be creating a new slab. This will be sitting on (yet another) weak layer of facets, expect this to be most reactive in immediate lee features. As the storm progresses the storm slab will become more widespread and reactive.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 2.5
Persistent Slabs
20-50cms of snow overlays a buried persistent weak layer. This weak layer consists of surface hoar, facets and/or a suncrust. It will be most reactive where there is a settled, cohesive slab on top of a crust.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 2.5