Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 16th, 2019 3:48PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada mconlan, Avalanche Canada

Wind slabs are the primary concern at higher elevations and you shouldn't discount buried persistent weak layers at lower elevations. Don't be caught off guard with these variable snowpack conditions.

Summary

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with isolated snowfall, trace in the north of the region and up to 8 cm in the south of the region, light to moderate northeast wind, alpine temperature -22 C.SUNDAY: Mostly clear skies, light to moderate northeast wind, alpine temperature -20 C.MONDAY: Mix of sun and cloud, light to moderate northwest wind, alpine temperature -18 C.TUESDAY: Cloudy with light snowfall, accumulation 1 to 3 cm, light to moderate west wind, alpine temperature -16 C.

Avalanche Summary

A persistent slab avalanche was triggered by a skier on Friday, releasing on the late-January surface hoar layer described in the Snowpack Summary. The avalanche was around 50 cm deep, on a south aspect, and in alpine terrain.

Snowpack Summary

Around 10 to 20 cm of recent snow has been blown around by strong, variable wind, creating touchy wind slabs in exposed areas. In the south and west of the region, recent storm amounts are closer to 30 to 40 cm. This new snow sits above wind-affected snow and/or sugary faceted grains. Beneath this lies two weak layers of surface hoar that were buried at the end of January and mid-January. These layers are around 30 to 70 cm deep. These layers are most prominent at treeline and below treeline elevations.The base of the snowpack is composed of weak and sugary faceted grains that overly a melt-freeze crust. This weak layer has produced large and destructive avalanches that are sporadic in nature and very difficult to predict. It is most likely to be triggered from areas where the snowpack is shallow and weak. Rocky alpine bowls, ridge crests, and rocky outcroppings are some examples of terrain features to be wary of. See the Forecaster Blog here for more information on this problem.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Strong wind has formed wind slabs in lee terrain features. The wind has blown from variable directions, so all aspects are suspect.
Use caution in freshly wind-loaded features, especially near ridge crests and in steep terrain.If triggered, wind slabs may step down to deeper layers and result in even larger avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs
Two weak layers of surface hoar crystals are buried between 30 and 70 cm in the snowpack. The layers are most prominent around treeline and below treeline elevations.
Be aware of the potential for wide propagation.Avoid steep, open and/or sparsely treed slopes at and below treeline.Use conservative route selection, choose moderate angled terrain with low consequence.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Valid until: Feb 17th, 2019 2:00PM

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