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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Apr 8th, 2025–Apr 9th, 2025
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Glacier.

Loose wet avalanches have been easy to trigger on steep slopes at treeline, they’re running far and accumulating mass as they slide.

Good group management will be a great tool for managing this hazard.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Tues, a field team was able to easily trigger size 1 storm slabs on steep rolls at tree line and cut cornices triggering up to size 2 loose wet avalanches on steep faces. Loose snow avalanches were accumulating mass in the paths and running far.

A group exiting the Asulkan cabin Mon morning was able to easily trigger wet loose avalanches up to size 1.5 while descending the moraines.

Natural wet loose avalanche cycles, up to size 2, occurred on Sun and Mon in the highway corridor.

Snowpack Summary

5-15cm of new snow at treeline & alpine. Earlier this week temps at treeline were above 0°C for over 48-hours, creating isothermal snow down 50-70cm.

In some locations the new snow has insulated the moist snow below it, preventing a crust from forming. In other locations the late March crust has refrozen creating an excellent sliding surface for the ~30 cm of moist (dry in alpine) snow on top.

Persistent weak layers linger in the mid-snowpack but will likely remain inactive.

Weather Summary

Unsettled conditions continue Wednesday

Tonight cloudy, isolated flurries. Wind SW 20-30 km/h. Freezing Level (FZL) 1500m

Wed Mix of sun/cloud, isolated flurries. Alpine high -3°C. Wind SW 20. FZL 1900m

Thu Flurries (8 cm). Alp high 0. Wind SW 25, gusting 70. FZL 2200m

Fri Cloudy with sunny periods. Alp high -5. Wind SW 20-40. FZL 1500m

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
  • Keep in mind that the high density of wet avalanches can make them destructive.
  • Avalanche activity is unlikely when a thick melt-freeze crust is present on the snow surface.

Avalanche Problems

Loose Wet

Up to 10 cm of new snow at treeline covers an isothermal upper snowpack. Where the late March crust has refrozen, it has made an excellent sliding surface for the 30 cm of moist snow that overlies it.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5

Storm Slabs

Up to 15 cm new snow is likely sitting on a crust on all but North aspects in the high Alpine. Expect pockets of wind slab in immediate lees as strong southwesterly winds in the wake of Monday’s storm have redistributed the new snow.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5