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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 20th, 2018–Feb 21st, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Glacier.

Today there will be some obvious windslabs and Cornices out there. Bundle up and give yourself plenty of time to get back to the trail head.

Weather Forecast

Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries. A trace of new snow will accumulate today and an Alpine high of -18c. Winds are currently light from the south and are expected to stay light throughout the day. Friday will be the first day of change in weather with 6-10cm in the forecast followed by flurries through the weekend.

Snowpack Summary

Strong NE winds have formed reverse loaded cornices that have been failing and triggering size 2 avalanches. Windslab can be expected in the alpine and exposed areas well into treeline. On solar aspects, a crust is buried 40cm. Persistent weak layers from January and December are now buried 150-200cm.

Avalanche Summary

The most notable avalanche yesterday was a skier controlled size 2(maybe 2.5) wind slab off Mt Sifton. We observed several avalanches yesterday that probably slid on the 18th. 3 cornice failures up to size 2.5, not pulling slabs or entraining mass. Another skier controlled size 1 in the Hermit slide path that presented as a loose dry avalanche.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.