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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 27th, 2015–Feb 28th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Northwest Inland.

Use increased caution on sun exposed slopes during the afternoon warming.Are you a member of Avalanche Canada? Join today at avalanche.ca/membership

Confidence

Fair - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain

Weather Forecast

A ridge of high pressure is the dominate feature for the next three days resulting in dry and sunny conditions. On Saturday, freezing levels are expected to be 600-1000m.  Alpine winds are forecast to be moderate-to-strong from the N-NW. On Sunday, freezing levels should be around 600m. Alpine winds are forecast to remain moderate-to-strong from the N-NW. On Monday, strong-to-extreme outflow winds are forecast with the advancing of an arctic front.

Avalanche Summary

Some loose sluffing has been reported but no new avalanches. Avalanches are generally not expected on Saturday but small loose sluffing from steep sun exposed slopes is possible during the afternoon.  Last week several full-depth avalanches up to Size 3 were observed on all but North aspects. As we get increased sun and warming heading into the weekend, these types of large isolated avalanches could once again become a problem.

Snowpack Summary

A dusting of new snow has buried the previously variable snow surface which may have included wind-pressed surfaces or old wind slabs, a sun crust or old rain crust, surface hoar, and/or surface facets. A layer of surface hoar buried in the upper snowpack has been reported in some areas and is worth investigating before committing to any big alpine terrain. At the base of the snowpack, weak facets may be persisting.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.