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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 29th, 2016–Dec 30th, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Ice climbing  conditions along the Parkway are great!Skiing, not so much.

Weather Forecast

Light snow overnight with moderate SW wind.  Seasonal  temperatures.  Clearing and colder temperatures expected later this weekend.

Snowpack Summary

Continued moderate SW winds building slabs in lee features and cross loaded gullies. Weak layers include; buried surface hoar (Dec 11) in sheltered NE aspects around treeline and the Nov 12 crust approximately 30cm from the ground. Generally, in the Alpine there is only snow in lee areas and the snowpack is faceted and weak. 

Avalanche Summary

Previous avalanche activity up to Sz 2 on N-NE-E slopes below ridgeline and to Sz 3 on a westerly aspect in steep, rocky, cross loaded terrain between 2400-2700m.  No new observations due to poor visibility.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations on Friday

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.