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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 28th, 2013–Dec 29th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Large and destructive avalanches are possible due to the persistent weak layer at the base of the snowpack. Conservative route selection is advised.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Cloudy conditions will prevail with west winds in the moderate to strong winds. Alpine temperatures will reach -9 tomorrow. A trace amount of new snow is possible on Sunday with up to 5cm on Monday.

Avalanche Summary

One size 1.5 Na sluff from steep alpine terrain on East aspect at 2900m. This sluff did not appear to trigger a slab on the underlying slopes.

Snowpack Summary

15 to 20cm low density Hn bonding poorly to previous surfaces which include mfc, hard slab and FC. Variable thickness mfc observed on East and North aspects where traveled today. Test profile at 2250m on East aspect, 32 degrees slope, gave CTM(12) sudden planar down 71cm. Very dense (P+) previously formed slab overlies facets and depth hoar in wind loaded feature at treeline. Whumpfing observed at treeline.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.