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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 23rd, 2012–Mar 24th, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kananaskis.

The sun is forecast to come out on Saturday so we may see some decreases in stability on solar aspects later in the day. Also, lots of snow is available for transport so keep a close eye on the winds as you travel.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

No new snow is in the forecast for the upcoming weekend. Skies are looking to be clear and winds are forecast to be light at the higher elevations. Clear skies will cause stability to decrease on solar aspects later in the day so keep an eye on your thermomotor.

Avalanche Summary

1 new sz 2.5 avalanche on a N aspect at 2300m on the Buller Corner slide paths. Extended the trim lines along its left margin of the runout taking out mature timber. Extensive sluffing out of steeper terrain up to size 1.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 20cm low density new snow. Very little wind affect in Alpine or treeline terrain. New snow is burying the previous windslabs that were being encountered at treeline and above in open areas. Loose snow is sluffing easily in steeper terrain with skier traffic. Valentines day Surface hoar down 145cm in the Heros Bowl area and it beginning to settle out and strengthen in SOME areas. Still a concern in our mind as we travel.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.