Avalanche forecast

Central Sierra Nevada

Sierra Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low
Out of date — this forecast expired 11 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

MODERATE avalanche danger exists on all aspects in near and above treeline terrain on slopes 35 degrees and steeper due to presence of old hard wind slabs and smaller newly formed wind slabs. Human triggered avalanches remain possible today. Loose dry sluffs may remain possible on steep, sheltered, lower-elevation slopes as well. Evaluate the snow and terrain carefully before committing to a slope instead of letting the excitement of early season snow lead to poor decision making.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    2

    Strong NE and E winds along the ridge tops have scoured some of the snow away from wind slabs deposited during the recent storm and re-deposited it onto the NW-W-SW-S-SE aspects. The new wind slabs formed on these aspects will remain smaller and more limited in distribution, but more sensitive than the older wind slabs. Even though the winds may have scoured some snow away from the N-NE-E aspects, some wind slabs will still remain on these aspects as well. These older wind slabs have become more difficult to trigger, but stepping on or riding over trigger points or larger triggers like large cornices or two people on a slope would make triggering these wind slabs easier. More hard wind slabs will exist on these aspects as well. Like yesterday, wind slabs could exist on any exposed near and above treeline aspects today. Most avalanches that result from the failure of these wind slabs should fail at or above the old snow surface; however, some of them could step down into older snow layers in areas where the wind slabs exist on top of old hard slabs on the NW-N-NE aspects. Avalanches involving wind slabs could entrain enough snow to bury a person.

    Cornices above a slope, wind ripples, drifts, blowing snow, hollow sounding snow, and other signs of wind loading can all serve as clues to help recognize slopes where wind slabs may exist. If a near or above treeline area looks nicely filled in and smooth and rounded, wind slabs likely exist in that area. Complex or extreme terrain like couliors and unsupported slopes will hold unstable wind slabs longer than other terrain and also have more potential consequences.

  • Wet Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1

    Due to the continued cold weather, loose dry snow sluffs will remain possible today. Steep slopes in near and below treeline terrain on NW-N-NE-E aspects sheltered from the winds hold the best potential for these kind of instabilities. Most of these sluffs should only entrain some of unconsolidated snow in the upper part of the snowpack.

Avalanche Discussion

Yesterday a report from Red Lake Peak indicated that small but sensitive wind slabs had formed as a result of wind loading by the E and NE winds. These small slabs remained isolated to areas near ridge lines. The report also indicated that weak snow still exists below the recent snow and still shows some signs of instability. Elsewhere this week observations indicated that wind slabs formed during the storm have become more difficult to trigger but that they may still fail with the right trigger. Tests on the wind loaded NW-N-NE aspects in areas where facets exist under old hard slabs still yield unstable results. Overall coverage remains thin and numerous rocks and other obstacles still remain very close to the snow surface and easy to hit.

Regions covered