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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 22nd, 2014–Jan 23rd, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Sea To Sky.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. Freezing levels nearing 2000m with moderate westerly winds. Friday and Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud with light winds and freezing levels over 3000 m. Temperature at 2000m could reach as high as +10 C, but valley bottoms could be slightly cooler.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were reported on Tuesday.

Snowpack Summary

Unseasonably warm daytime temperatures and sun-exposure have subjected the snow surface to melt-freeze cycles on all but high elevation shady aspects for several days. Cornices have also been weakening. Previous winds have scoured windward slopes and sculpted sastrugi in exposed areas. Average treeline snowpack depths are around 170 cm with a well settled and strong upper and mid-pack; however, facets and depth hoar with an associated crust still lurk near the base. Recent snowpack tests on a SSW facing treeline slope gave hard but sudden results on a crust laminated with facets down 118cm. Below that, facets and depth hoar were found down to the ground.

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.