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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 11th, 2019–Apr 12th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Cariboos.

As soon as the sun comes out the surface snow will become moist and increase the likelihood of loose wet avalanches. Wind slabs might still be sensitive to human triggering.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear with isolated flurries / light northeast wind / alpine low -6 C / freezing level at valley bottomFRIDAY: Sunny with cloudy periods / light to moderate westerly wind / alpine high -4 C / freezing level 1700 mSATURDAY: Snow in the mountains and rain in the valleys / up to 15 cm of snow accumulation / strong southwest wind / alpine high -4 C / freezing level 1700 mSUNDAY: Cloudy / up to 5 cm snow accumulation / moderate west wind / alpine high -8 C / freezing level 1500 m

Avalanche Summary

On Wednesday, no new avalanche activity was observed. On Tuesday, a small (size 1) slab avalanche 30 cm deep was remotely triggered by a skier from 80 m away on a northeast aspect at 2250 m. A layer of small surface hoar below the most recent snow may have been the weak layer. Additionally, several loose wet avalanches up to size 1.5 were triggered on solar aspects throughout the day by strong solar radiation.On Monday there was quite a bit of natural avalanche activity in the recent storm snow. Slabs to size 1.5 were reported from all aspects between 1800 and 2700 m. The natural activity was likely caused by the appearance of the strong April sun.

Snowpack Summary

Last week's unsettled weather produced 20-35 cm of snow in the alpine which tapers rapidly with elevation. This snow is sitting on a melt-freeze crust on all aspects except for northerly slopes above 1800 m, where it sits on dry snow and possibly small surface hoar (weak, feathery crystals) in isolated locations. High elevation, north facing terrain where wind slabs may be sitting on small surface hoar might currently be the most likely place to trigger a slab avalanche.Snow is disappearing rapidly at lower elevations.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.