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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Nov 22nd, 2014–Nov 23rd, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.

Regions

Cariboos.

Recent snowfall is hiding early season hazards - extra caution is advised. If you are out in the mountains please send us your observations! ([email protected]).

Confidence

Poor - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

Overview: There is a brief lull in the weather this weekend before a series of strong frontal systems cross the province early next week. The first system should arrive on Monday bringing moderate amounts of precipitation (15-25 mm) - heaviest in the North Columbia regions. Freezing levels will likely be between 1000 and 1500m and ridge winds could be strong from the southwest. The next even stronger system arrives shortly after but appears to be taking a more southerly route. Recent model runs are showing this system south of the border. If this is the case we will probably only see light to moderate accumulations and not much change in freezing levels.

Avalanche Summary

Currently there are no recent avalanche reports, however; there is enough snow at higher elevations (treeline and alpine) where certain avalanche problems may exist.

Snowpack Summary

Welcome to winter! It's that time of year where winter is slowing winding up and observations are limited. Recent reports suggest that the total snowpack in the alpine is 60-100 cm, and maybe deeper in some areas. Pockets of wind slab are likely on exposed leeward slopes at upper elevations. 20-30 cm of new snow could be sitting on a weak layer of surface hoar or a crust. Another weak layer (crust, surface hoar, facets) may be lurking down 30-50cm deep. The bond at both of these interfaces could be poor and deserves further investigation. A solid crust that formed early November can be found 30-40cm above the ground in many places at treeline and above. The new snow will hide early season hazards like crevasses, rocks, and stumps and gaining access to upper elevations is extremely challenging.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.