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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 30th, 2015–Mar 31st, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Glacier.

Recent rain and wet snow will de-stabilize the snow pack. Use caution in avalanche terrain today.

Weather Forecast

Mainly cloudy with isolated wet flurries. Freeze line to rise to 2400m and alpine temperatures of plus 3 degrees and warm gusty winds gusting to 50kph. Tuesday we can expect periods of snow at higher elevations with up to 14cm. Freeze lines are forecast to be at 2000m and this snow could be quite heavy. Midweek will be sunny and cooler temperatures

Snowpack Summary

17mm of precipitation in the last 24 hours at 2000m has produced only 12cm of new snow. This wet new snow is sitting on numerous layers of stacked moist and wet snow down to at least 70cm at tree line. Expect this recent storm snow over the persistent weak layers in the top 1.5m to be reactive to human triggers.

Avalanche Summary

Numerous loose wet avalanches observed in the highway corridor yesterday ranging in size 1.5 to 2.5.

Confidence

Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.