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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 8th, 2024–Jan 9th, 2024

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Vancouver Island, East Island, North Island, South Island, West Island.

High avalanche danger means travel in avalanche terrain is not recommended.

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

Throughout Tuesday, we expect new snow and southwest winds will form triggerable slabs. Watch for building slabs, especially on lee terrain features, and in the west of the region where storm totals are expected to be greater.

Over the weekend, several size 1 wind slab and loose dry avalanches were triggered by skiers in steep terrain. One natural size 2.5 avalanche was observed in the alpine on the north side of Mt Frink.

Snowpack Summary

40 to 80 cm of snow is expected to fall by the end of the day Tuesday, greatest in the south and west of the region, with strong southwest winds. Expect deposits to be deeper and touchier in exposed areas and upper elevations.

This snow falls on previously wind-affected surfaces at upper elevations. Up to 1400 m, it falls on a crust.

The remainder of the snowpack is strong, with numerous hard melt-freeze crusts.

Treeline snow depths generally range from 50 to 150 cm. Snow depth diminishes rapidly below 1000 m where there has been more rainfall.

Below treeline, before this storm, traveling on skis was almost impossible due to lack of snow.

Weather Summary

Monday Night

Cloudy with 30 to 60 cm snow, greatest in the west of the region, southwest alpine wind 80 to 100 km/h, freezing level around 1100 m.

Tuesday

Cloudy with 10 to 20 cm snow, greatest in the west of the region, northwest alpine winds 60 to 80 km/h, freezing level 900 m.

Wednesday

Partly cloudy with no precipitation, northwest alpine winds 30 to 50 km/h, freezing level 500 m.

Thursday

Partly cloudy with trace snow, northwest alpine winds 50 to 75 km/h, freezing level drops to surface.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.