Avalanche forecast

Jasper

May 2 – 3, 2021
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Archived · expired 5 years ago

Avalanche danger

Tue
Wed
Alpine
No rating
Treeline
No rating
Below
No rating

Highlights

Regular forecasts are now finished. Use our Weather Stations, the ACMG Mountain Condition Reports, and the Mountain Information Network to stay up to date on current conditions, or ask for Visitor Safety at 780-852-6155 with specific questions.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2.5

    Any new snow falling high in the Alpine can quickly become Wind Slabs at any time of the year. This has been a problem in the past on terrain like the Silverhorn and Ramp routes on Mt. Athabasca, and on other high peaks, such as Mt. Columbia.

  • Loose Wet

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–2

    When the sun comes out, temperatures soar above freezing, or rain falls, expect Wet Loose avalanches and Cornice failures. This is especially relevant in steep, high consequence terrain, such as gully climbs on Mt. Andromeda and Mt. Edith Cavell.

  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely - Possible
    Size
    2–3.5

    Crusts and facets from the long winter persist. These could remain active in the alpine into the Summer season, waking up with rising temperatures or Cornice falls. Watch for slabs on large alpine features, such as the Ramp on Mt. Athabasca.

Weather Forecast

The Mountain Weather Forecast is available from Avalanche Canada (https://avalanche.ca/weather/forecast).

Detailed local forecasts are available from sites like SpotWX (https://spotwx.com/)

Snowpack Summary

An overview is available: (https://avalanche.ca/pages/static-page/spring-conditions)

Generally, danger increases with daytime warming, & decreases with cold, clear nights. A winter snowpack may persist on shaded, high alpine slopes.

As the snow thins, crevasse bridges weaken. Use extra care in thin wind-affected areas, eg the Athabasca Glacier.

Avalanche Summary

Expect activity with rising temps, especially during warm and/or sunny afternoons. Use extra caution if the surface didn't freeze overnight.

Watch for Wind Slabs in the alpine, particularly following snow or rain at lower elevations. Use extra caution if they form above crusts, which can happen well into summer on high peaks, eg Mt Athabasca.

Confidence

Regions covered