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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 18th, 2023–Jan 19th, 2023

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Northwest Inland, Kispiox, Ningunsaw.

Freshly formed wind slabs and concern for buried weak layers are keeping danger ratings elevated. Put your guard up around steep openings in the trees and keep it raised if you reach the alpine, where wind slabs and deeper snowpack weakness remains in play.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Tuesday, a small skier-triggered persistent slab avalanche was reported near Kispiox. This avalanche occurred at treeline and failed on a weak layer of surface hoar sitting on a firm wind-packed surface. Several natural wind slab avalanches were also observed throughout the region, mainly in the alpine (size 1-2).

Looking forward to Thursday, wind and snowfall will continue to form fresh wind slabs. Avoid wind-loaded areas at upper elevations and keep in mind the potential for deeper instabilities to produce large and surprising avalanches.

Snowpack Summary

Continued snowfall will add to 20-40 cm of recent storm snow. At upper elevations, southerly winds are scouring windward areas and redistributing this storm snow into wind slabs in lee areas.

Several persistent weak layers may be found in the top meter of the snowpack. Most prominently, a layer of surface hoar buried in early January is now 20-50 cm deep. A weak layer of facets and/or surface hoar buried in late December is now down 70-110 cm.

In alpine terrain, triggering one of these layers is most likely on steep rocky slopes where they present as facets. In treeline terrain, the layers are most likely triggered on steep slopes in open trees where they present as preserved surface hoar.

In the north of the region, the lower snowpack remains weak and heavily faceted.

Weather Summary

Wednesday night

Cloudy with clear periods and isolated flurries, trace to 5 cm accumulation. Alpine temperatures drop to a low of -9 °C. Ridge wind southwest 25 km/h gusting to 65 km/h. Freezing level at valley bottom.

Thursday

Cloudy with snowfall, 5 of accumulation. Alpine temperatures reach a high of -4 °C. Ridge wind southwest 30 km/h gusting to 75 km/h. Freezing level 400 metres.

Friday

Cloudy with rain/snow, 5-10 cm of new snow accumulation at higher elevations. Alpine temperatures reach a high of 0 °C. Ridge wind southwest 35 km/h gusting to 90 km/h. Freezing level 1400 metres.

Saturday

Flurries, 5 cm of accumulation. Alpine temperatures reach a high of -7 °C. Ridge wind southwest 30 km/h gusting to 70 km/h. Freezing level 700 metres.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Avoid open slopes and convex rolls at and below treeline where buried surface hoar may be preserved.
  • Avoid steep, rocky, and wind effected areas where triggering slabs is more likely.
  • Be aware of the potential for surprisingly large avalanches due to deeply buried weak layers.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.