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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 15th, 2026–Feb 16th, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Sugarbowl, McGregor, Pine Pass.

Wind slabs may remain triggerable on lee slopes near ridgetops.

Verify conditions and retreat to more conservative terrain if you see signs of instability.

Confidence

Moderate

  • We have a good understanding of the snowpack structure and confidence in the weather forecast.
  • We are uncertain due to a limited number of field observations.

Avalanche Summary

On Saturday, a small size 1 wind slab was naturally triggered on a northwest-facing slope just below ridge top in the McGregors.

On Thursday, a natural avalanche cycle occurred in the Pine Pass and Hasler areas up to size 2. These slabs and cornice failures generally occurred on lee slopes, at or just below ridgetops. (See photos below. )

If you’re heading out, please consider sharing details about what you see on the Mountain Information Network.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 5 cm of new snow may fall overnight and through Monday. This will add to 40 to 60 cm of snow currently overlying a thick melt-freeze crust. In isolated, sheltered areas, a layer of surface hoar may exist on that crust.

Previous strong ridgetop winds formed wind slabs on lee northerly through easterly slopes. These slabs should be bonding but may remain triggerable in some areas.

A layer of surface hoar/facets/crust, is buried 80 to 100+ cm. Triggering this layer is considered unlikely at this time.

Weather Summary

Sunday Night

Mostly cloudy. 2 to 4 cm of snow. 20 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -8 °C.

Monday

Mostly cloudy. 0 to 2 cm of snow. 40 km/h east ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -11 °C.

Tuesday

Mostly cloudy. 0 to 2 cm of snow. 50 km/h east ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -21 °C.

Wednesday

Mix of sun and clouds. 10 km/h east ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -25 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be careful as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
  • Use ridges or ribs to avoid areas of wind-loaded snow.
  • Seek out sheltered terrain where new snow hasn't been affected by wind.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.