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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 15th, 2026–Mar 16th, 2026

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Vancouver Island, East Island, North Island, South Island, West Island.

Heavy rain is creating very dangerous avalanche conditions. Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Confidence

High

  • We are confident the likelihood of avalanches will increase with the forecast weather.

Avalanche Summary

No recent avalanche activity has been reported.

If you head out into the backcountry, please consider posting your observations to the Mountain Information Network.

Snowpack Summary

Rain soaks 10 to 60 cm of formerly dry, soft snow sitting on a thick, widespread crust. Below, the remainder of the snowpack is generally settled and well-bonded.

Weather Summary

Sunday Night
Cloudy. 10 to 20 mm snow turning to rain at treeline. 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level rising to 3000 m.

Monday
Cloudy. 25 to 65 mm of rain at treeline. 70 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 3 °C. Freezing level 3000 m.

Tuesday
Mostly cloudy. 20 to 60 mm of rain at treeline. 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 5 °C. Freezing level 2800 m.

Wednesday
Mostly cloudy. 5 to 30 mm of rain at treeline. 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 4 °C. Freezing level 2200 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid avalanche terrain during periods of heavy rain.
  • Keep in mind that the high density of wet avalanches can make them destructive.
  • Keep in mind a buried crust offers an excellent bed surface for avalanches.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.