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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 23rd, 2022–Mar 24th, 2022

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Vancouver Island.

A crust likely exists to mountain top, making avalanche activity unlikely. Monitor surface conditions throughout the day, and minimize exposure to slopes that hold wet and heavy surface snow. 

Confidence

High - We have a good understanding of the snowpack structure and confidence in the weather forecast

Weather Forecast

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Skies clear overnight with light westerly winds. Freezing levels fall to 1000 m. 

THURSDAY: A mix of sun and cloud with light southeast winds. Freezing levels around 1300 m. 

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy with flurries bringing up to 5 cm of snow. Moderate southeast winds and freezing levels around 1200 m.

SATURDAY: Light snowfall overnight and throughout the day, freezing levels around 1200 m. Moderate to strong southerly winds. 

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches have been reported.

If you venture into the mountains, please share any observations on the Mountain Information Network

Snowpack Summary

As temperatures drop, a melt freeze crust will extend into the alpine on all aspects. Expect moist snow at low elevations below the freezing line.

The mid and lower snowpack are considered well settled and strong. 

In most areas snowpack depths at below treeline elevations are below threshold for avalanche activity. 

Terrain and Travel

  • When a thick, melt-freeze surface crust is present, avalanche activity is unlikely.
  • Make observations and assess conditions continually as you travel.
  • Avoid sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong, especially if snow is moist or wet

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.