Avalanche forecast

South Rockies

Dec 28 – 29, 2025Avalanche Canada
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Avalanche danger

Tue
Wed
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Seek out good riding in sheltered terrain with no wind effect

Be mindful that deep instabilities still exist in the snowpack

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible - Likely
    Size
    1–2

    Shifting winds have built wind slabs on various aspects at upper elevations. Carefully assess steep areas for potential slabs before committing.These slabs may be more reactive if they are poorly bonded to an underlying rain crust.

  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely
    Size
    2–3.5

    A deep persistent weak layer consisting of weak facets over a crust, remains a concern. The probability of triggering this layer is low, but with high consequences.

Confidence

Moderate

  • Uncertainty is due to the limited number of field observations.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches have been reported, but observations are extremely limited in the region.

On Dec 21, large, naturally triggered slab avalanches occurred in the North Crowsnest area. These failed on a deep persistent weak layer down 1-2 m, and some stepped down to the ground.

Check out this MIN from our field team.

Snowpack Summary

Between 20 to 35 cm of recent snow overlies a rain crust from Dec 24th that reached up to treeline elevations in some areas. Wind slabs may be poorly bonded to the new rain crust. At upper elevations, variable winds have blown storm snow into thicker and more reactive slabs in leeward areas.

A deep persistent weak layer consisting of a prominent crust, with 10 cm of facets on top, is buried 130 to 180 cm deep in terrain above 1800 m. Triggering this layer could have very severe consequences.

Check out this great MIN post from the Crowsnest on recent conditions there.

Weather Summary

Saturday Night
Clear skies. 30 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -17 °C.

Sunday
Sunny. 40 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -12 °C.

Monday
Sunny. 40 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -9 °C.

Tuesday
Sunny. 30 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -7 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Recent wind has varied in direction, so watch for wind slabs on all aspects.
  • Use ridges or ribs to avoid areas of wind-loaded snow.
  • Avoid thin areas like rocky outcrops where you're most likely to trigger avalanches on deep weak layers.

Regions covered