Avalanche forecast

Lizard-Flathead

Dec 31, 2025 – Jan 1, 2026Avalanche Canada
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Avalanche danger

Fri
Sat
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

A temperature inversion could increase the likelihood of avalanche activity at higher elevations.

Reactive wind slabs linger in steep, exposed terrain.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2

    Recent variable winds have formed wind slabs on lee and cross-loaded slopes.

    Inverted temperatures and above-freezing temperatures in the alpine could increase the reactivity of wind slabs through the day.

  • Loose Wet

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–1.5

    Temperature inversions are expected to create above-freezing temperatures at higher elevations. Be especially cautious around steep, sun-affected slopes during periods of warming.

Confidence

Moderate

  • The snowpack structure is generally well understood.
  • Uncertainty is due to difficult to forecast freezing levels.

Avalanche Summary

On Monday, a few large (size 2.5 to 3) explosive-triggered wind slab avalanches occurred in the Crowsnest area. While none of these avalnches propogated particualrly wide, they all ran very far (full path) on old firm, buried crusts.

Over the weekend, numerous explosive and naturally triggered storm or wind slab avalanches occurred, up to 2.5 on various aspects and elevations.

Snowpack Summary

20 to 50 cm of recent snow has buried a thin melt-freeze crust at elevations around 2000 m and below. Variable winds have redistributed this snow, creating wind-affected surfaces in exposed, high-elevation terrain.

The mid and lower snowpack is characterized by multiple crust layers, with moist snow persisting near the base in some areas.

Snow depths at treeline generally range from approximately 100 to 200 cm.

Weather Summary

Tuesday Night
Clear skies. 30 to 50 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C, with a chance of above freezing temperatures in the alpine.

Wednesday
Sunny. 40 to 60 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C, with a chance of above freezing temperatures in the alpine.

Thursday
Sunny. 20 to 40 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C.

Friday
Mostly cloudy. 0 to 3 cm of snow. 40 to 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
  • Seek out sheltered terrain where new snow hasn't been affected by wind.
  • The more the snowpack warms up and weakens, the more conservative your terrain selection should be.

Regions covered