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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 28th, 2026–Jan 29th, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Vancouver Island, East Island, North Island, South Island, West Island.

If freezing levels are lower than forecast and upper elevations receive snow instead of rain, triggering large avalanches will be likely on Thursday.

Confidence

Moderate

  • We are uncertain due to variable freezing levels.

Avalanche Summary

If freezing levels are lower than expected and upper elevations receive snow instead of rain, triggering avalanches will be likely on Thursday.

Snowpack Summary

Forecast rain to mountain tops may trigger wet loose avalanches on Thursday.

40-60 cm of moist snow overlies a hard crust.

Average treeline snow depth is 100 to 140 cm and tapers rapidly with elevation.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night
Cloudy. 30 to 60 mm of rain below 1600 m (snow above). 50 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 3 °C. Freezing level 1900 m.

Thursday
Cloudy. 15 to 25 mm of rain below 1700 m. 40 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 4 °C. Freezing level 2000 m.

Friday
Cloudy. 45 to 60 mm of rain below 1600 m (snow above). 40 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 1 °C. Freezing level 1500 m.

Saturday
Mostly cloudy. 40 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 3 °C. Freezing level 2500 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind, or rain.
  • Use conservative route selection. Choose simple, low angle terrain with no overhead hazard.
  • Be alert to conditions that change with aspect and elevation.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.