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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 1st, 2024–Feb 2nd, 2024

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Vancouver Island, East Island, North Island, South Island, West Island.

Wind slab avalanches may be possible at upper elevations where dry snow has accumulated over a crust.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche observations.

Snowpack Summary

Freezing levels are receding back down the mountain, leaving behind refreezing surfaces and a dusting of dry new snow above 1200 m. Below the crust, the snowpack is wet to ground.

Below treeline, the snowpack has melted out almost entirely, leaving it below threshold for avalanches.

Weather Summary

Thursday night

Cloudy with 5-10 cm of snow above 1300 m, light rain below. The west island may receive up to 40 cm/mm. South ridgetop wind 60-80 km/h. Treeline temperature around 1 °C.

Friday

Mostly cloudy with up to 5 cm of snow above 1200 m, light rain below. South ridgetop wind 30-50 km/h. Treeline temperature around 0 °C.

Saturday

A mix of sun and cloud. Light north ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature around -1 °C. Freezing level around 1100 m.

Sunday

A mix of sun and cloud. Light northeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature around 0 °C. Freezing level around 1300 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Closely monitor how the new snow is bonding to the crust.
  • Although their spatial distribution is isolated, wind slabs are reactive.
  • Watch for unstable snow on specific terrain features, especially when the snow is moist or wet.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.