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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 29th, 2024–Mar 30th, 2024

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Glacier.

Seek out shaded aspects for the easiest travel and best riding.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

No new natural avals obs. along the highway corridor on Friday.

Riders reported triggering small wind slabs, up to size 1.5, in steep north facing terrain off Cheops Mtn. in Connaught creek on Thursday.

Also on Thursday, isolated natural slab avalanches sized, 2, 2.5 and 3 were observed in from steep, alpine start zones on N and SE aspects.

Expect loose sluffing in steep and unsupported terrain.

Snowpack Summary

Spring convective flurries have added 10-30 cm of storm snow, which has been redistributed by wind in the alpine. Surface snow turns moist below 1700 m.

Below the storm snow is a thick crust on all aspects below 1700m and widespread on solar facing terrain.

A weak layer formed on March 9th is down ~30 cm and the Feb 3rd persistent weak layer is down 80-140 cm deep, both these layers are currently unreactive. The mid and lower snowpack are well settled and strong.

Weather Summary

A clearing trend will continue through the weekend and into next week, with seasonal temperatures over the weekend.

Tonight: Flurries, trace amounts, Alpine temp: Low -8 °C, Light N winds, Freezing Level(FZL) valley bottom

Sat: Flurries, Snow: 5cm, alpine high -5 °C, NW winds 10km/hr, FZL 1500m

Sun: Sun/Cloud. Alp high -5 °C, NW winds 15km/hr, FZL 1600m

Mon: Sun/Cloud. Alp high -3 °C, light W winds, FZL 1800m

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Look for signs of instability: whumphing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks, and recent avalanches.
  • Avoid sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong, especially if snow is moist or wet
  • Remember that the snowpack will be significantly different at higher elevations than lower down.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.