Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 14th, 2025–Mar 15th, 2025

Alpine

Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Below Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Alpine

Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Below Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Alpine

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Below Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Purcells, East Purcell, St. Mary.

Avoid wind-loaded features.

Wind slabs could step down to a deeper persistent weak layer triggering a much larger avalanche.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Thurs: A large (size 2) naturally-triggered persistent slab near Invermere and a size 2.5 persistent slab south of Kimberly were observed.

Tues: Avalanche control produced large avalanches (up to size 3.5) in the central-western part of the region.

Mon: Extensive storm and wind slabs were observed, some notably stepping down to deeper persistent weak layers.

Looking forward: We expect both wind slabs and persistent slabs to remain triggerable over the weekend.

Snowpack Summary

15 to 30 cm of snow fell over the last few days. At lower elevations, and on sunny slopes, the snow surface may be moist or crusty. At ridgetops, southwest winds formed slabs on leeward north through east facing slopes. The recent snow covers a crust on sunny slopes and lower elevations, and surface hoar or facets on sheltered and shady upper elevations. Several weak layers consisting of a crust, facets or surface hoar from February and January remain a concern, buried 30 to 60 cm. A layer of facets from early December is buried 70 to 120 cm. In many areas, facets or depth hoar make up the base of the snowpack.

Weather Summary

Friday Night

Partly cloudy with possible isolated flurries. 10 to 20 km/h southwest ridgetop winds. Treeline temperature -10 °C.

Saturday

A mix of sun and cloud, with possible isolated flurries. 10 to 25 km/h south ridgetop winds. Treeline temperature -7 °C.

Sunday

Partly cloudy with 0 to 3 cm of snow. 10 to 25 km/h southwest ridgetop winds. Treeline temperature -6 °C.

Monday

A mix of sun and clouds. 15 to 25 km/h west ridgetop winds. Treeline temperature -5 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

Be aware of the potential for large, destructive avalanches due to deeply buried weak layers.
Avoid steep, rocky, and wind-affected areas where triggering slabs is more likely.
Be careful with wind-loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and rollovers.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.