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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 27th, 2012–Dec 28th, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Columbia.

Weather Forecast

Friday: Isolated flurries with overcast skies, winds light from the west. Alpine temperatures near -10.Saturday: Light precipitation, winds will be light west and northwest. Alpine temperatures will be near -10.Sunday: A weak ridge of high pressure should bring drier conditions with upper level temperatures remaining cool.

Avalanche Summary

Recent avalanche activity in the region has been limited to loose snow avalanches in steep terrain and a few thin wind slab releases to size 2. Glide cracks are continuing to open wider. The potential for subsequent largely unpredictable full-depth avalanches are a concern.

Snowpack Summary

A wind event from last week formed relatively deep wind slabs in the alpine. These have been buried by the most recent new snow combined with wind forming fresh wind slabs on the surface. In sheltered open areas at tree line and below there is newly formed surface hoar now buried by 5-10cm of low density snow. There are some reports of a sun crust down around 100 cm in steep south facing features. The mid-pack is reported to be settling well. Recent reports indicate late November surface hoar (near the middle of the snowpack) and early November crust (near the base of the snowpack) have been inactive. It's important to note that professionals are still cautious about these lingering persistent slab problems, however the likelihood of triggering is low. Be wary of steep complex terrain with a shallow snowpack, where triggering a persistent weakness is more likely.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.