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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Nov 25th, 2020–Nov 26th, 2020

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Jasper.

An early season refresh of low density new snow has hidden any lingering, exposed hazards. Excellent riding can be found throughout the forecast region.

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Weather Forecast

Alpine temps expected to remain steady (-10 to -15) with intermitted, light flurries over the next couple of days. Moderate sw winds at tree line (TL). A further 20mm (~10cm)  forecast, beginning Friday afternoon, and tampering off by Saturday am. Excellent skiing can be found at TL and, in sheltered areas through the forecast region. 

Snowpack Summary

The snowpack is highly variable depending on location. Height of snow at Parkers is ~100cm at treeline. The Nov.4 crust found up to 2600m, and is ~70cm deep. Test results on this crust have shown a mix of mod sudden/resistent planar results. Continued wind slab develop on N and E aspects ridge top down into treeline. Basal layers continue to weaken

Avalanche Summary

Avalanche control at Parkers Ridge today produced numerous, loose dry slides and a very healthy sz 2 that swept across the road. Dimensions of the slab, 100m x 200m x 60-100cms depth. Continued, moderate loading from steady sw winds and light HST observed after mid-day.

Confidence

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.