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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 23rd, 2025–Dec 24th, 2025

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Lizard-Flathead, Akamina, Flathead, Lizard, Moyie, Crowsnest South.

Continually assess conditions throughout the day and watch for building wind slabs.

We have some uncertainty in the forecast precipitation amounts for Wednesday.

Confidence

Moderate

  • Uncertainty is due to the track & intensity of the incoming weather system.
  • The snowpack structure is generally well understood.

Avalanche Summary

On Sunday, evidence of a previous natural avalanche cycle was observed.

Also on Sunday, explosive control and human triggered avalanches were reported to size 1.5 in wind affected features. Loose dry avalanches were observed in sheltered, steep  terrain.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 15 cm of new snow accompanied by strong southerly wind is expected by Wednesday afternoon. This falls over 60 to 90 cm of wind affected, settling snow that is generally bonding well to the mid December crust.

Below the crust, the snowpack is generally well settled and moist to the ground.

Weather Summary

Tuesday Night

Mostly cloudy with 3 to 7 cm of snow. 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C. Freezing level 1200 m.

Wednesday

Cloudy with 2 to 7 cm of snow. 40 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level 1400 m.

Thursday

Mostly cloudy with 5 cm of snow. 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1°C. Freezing level 1700 m.

Friday

Mostly cloudy with 10 to 20 cm of snow. 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C. Freezing level 1600 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
  • Be alert to conditions that change with elevation, aspect, and exposure to wind.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.