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Avalanche Forecast

Nov 28th, 2013–Nov 29th, 2013
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: South Columbia.

Please help support these bulletins. If you have been out in the mountains recently, feel free to send your observations to forecaster@avalanche.ca.

Confidence

Poor - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

Friday: A chance of light precipitation to northern portions of the forecast region otherwise dry conditions. Winds will be moderate to strong westerly at ridge top. Freezing levels rise to 900m and mostly cloudy conditions.Saturday: Light precipitation and moderate westerly winds at ridge top. Freezing levels at valley bottom and cloudy conditions.Outlook for Sunday: The arctic front moves south colliding with a low pressure system lingering over the southern portion of the province. Moderate (locally heavy) precipitation and strong winds are expected. There is some uncertainty in the timing of the cold front as the models vary.

Avalanche Summary

No reports of recent avalanche activity have been received. This may speak more to the lack of reported observations rather than actual conditions. If you have information please feel free to contact us at forecaster@avalanche.ca

Snowpack Summary

The region has seen generally dry conditions for the past week. Recent reports have been limited but observations suggest the depth of snow ranges from 110 to 160cm at treeline across the forecast region. A surface hoar layer growing on the surface appears to be spotty in distribution and more likely found on shaded, sheltered terrain features. On steep, south facing slopes, a sun crust has developed. Warm temperatures have continued to settle the upper and mid snowpack. Within the mid snowpack is a layer of surface hoar buried in mid-November ranging from 50-90cms in depth. Deeper, an October crust/facet combo exists near the base of the snowpack. Limited reports suggest these layers are becoming difficult to trigger. However, if triggered, persistent slabs have the potential to cause surprisingly large, destructive avalanches.

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

A surface hoar layer buried in the mid snowpack (50-90cm) remains a concern. A lack of recent avalanches is not an indicator that this avalanche problem has disappeared. Take caution around large planar or unsupported slopes.
Caution around convexities and large unsupported slopes. Persistent slabs have the potential for wide propagation.>Dig down to find and test weak layers before committing to a line.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 3 - 5