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Avalanche Forecast

Apr 14th, 2013–Apr 15th, 2013
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Columbia.

Confidence

Fair - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain for the entire period

Weather Forecast

A ridge of high pressure is expected to develop throughout the forecast period. A mix of sun and cloud and generally light east/northeast winds are expected each day. Daytime freezing levels are meant to climb gradually from about 1000m on Monday to about 1600m on Wednesday.

Avalanche Summary

A size 2 skier accidental avalanche was triggered in the north of the region on a west aspect at 2200m. The skier was not caught in the avalanche which failed within the recent storm snow. Elsewhere, Friday night's storm slab was reactive to explosives and skier traffic in wind-affected terrain to size 1.5.

Snowpack Summary

Moderate to locally heavy snow accumulations from Friday night have been shifted by southwest, and more recently northeast winds into windslabs which exist at treeline and above.A surface hoar interface is buried within the upper metre or so of the snowpack, mainly on high-elevation northerly aspects. It may be slowly gaining some strength, but these slopes should still be treated with suspicion. On other slopes, recent storm snow overlies a crust. This interface may become particularly reactive on solar aspects as sunnier skies prevail over the next few days. Cornices in the region are very large and potentially destructive. Triggering will become more likely with forecast sunny periods.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Recent snowfall has been redistributed by changing winds. Wind slabs exist on a variety of aspects at treeline and above. Wind has also formed very large and potentially unstable cornices.
Avoid travelling in areas that have been reverse loaded by winds.>Stay off recent wind loaded areas until the slope has had a chance to stabilize.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 4

Persistent Slabs

A layer of surface hoar is buried about a metre down, mainly on high northerly aspects. A surface avalanche stepping down, cornice fall, or the weight of a person from a thin-spot trigger point could trigger it.
Avoid convexities or areas with a thin or variable snowpack.>Be aware of the potential for large, deep avalanches due to the presence of buried surface hoar.>

Aspects: North, North East, East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 6