Avalanche Forecast
Regions: South Coast.
Confidence
Fair - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather is uncertain
Weather Forecast
Monday: Clouds with scattered light precipitation. Freezing level rising to around 1800m. Light southerly winds. Tuesday: Light precipitation. Freezing level rising to around 2400m in the afternoon. Wednesday: Light to moderate precipitation. Freezing level falling to 1500m this evening.
Avalanche Summary
A size 2 skier-triggered avalanche was reported in the Duffey Lake area on Friday. It was triggered on a NE facing alpine slope and is suspected to have failed on the late March sun crust. There have also been reports of isolated natural slab avalanches to size 2.5, primarily on solar aspects during the afternoon. Loose wet activity continues on steep solar aspects.
Snowpack Summary
The snow surface consists of old wind slabs in exposed alpine terrain, spotty surface hoar on shady slopes, and a sun crust/moist snow on solar aspects. This sits on up to a metre of settling storm snow from last week. The March 27 layer is predominately a crusty interface except on north facing slopes at treeline and above where small surface hoar (5mm) may be found. It's now down 60-120 cm and has recently exhibited hard, sudden results and a Rutschblock 4 whole block failure in the Duffey Lake area. Deep persistent weaknesses linger in many colder and shallower snowpack areas. Daytime warming and sun-exposure may cause surface snow to lose cohesion and cornices to weaken.
Avalanche Problems
Persistent Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 2 - 6
Loose Wet
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 4
Cornices
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 5