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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Apr 8th, 2012–Apr 9th, 2012
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Coast.

Confidence

Fair - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather is uncertain

Weather Forecast

Monday: Clouds with scattered light precipitation. Freezing level rising to around 1800m. Light southerly winds. Tuesday: Light precipitation. Freezing level rising to around 2400m in the afternoon. Wednesday: Light to moderate precipitation. Freezing level falling to 1500m this evening.

Avalanche Summary

A size 2 skier-triggered avalanche was reported in the Duffey Lake area on Friday. It was triggered on a NE facing alpine slope and is suspected to have failed on the late March sun crust. There have also been reports of isolated natural slab avalanches to size 2.5, primarily on solar aspects during the afternoon. Loose wet activity continues on steep solar aspects.

Snowpack Summary

The snow surface consists of old wind slabs in exposed alpine terrain, spotty surface hoar on shady slopes, and a sun crust/moist snow on solar aspects. This sits on up to a metre of settling storm snow from last week. The March 27 layer is predominately a crusty interface except on north facing slopes at treeline and above where small surface hoar (5mm) may be found. It's now down 60-120 cm and has recently exhibited hard, sudden results and a Rutschblock 4 whole block failure in the Duffey Lake area. Deep persistent weaknesses linger in many colder and shallower snowpack areas. Daytime warming and sun-exposure may cause surface snow to lose cohesion and cornices to weaken.

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent slab avalanches are becoming less likely, but remote triggering, step-down avalanches, and wide propagations remain possible on a weakness down 50-120cm.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 6

Loose Wet

Loose-wet avalanches are most likely on steep sunny slopes, or below treeline when temperatures are warm. A heavy wet slide could have serious consequences if you are exposed to a terrain trap.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 4

Cornices

Large and weak cornices are a hazard in themselves, but can also act as a heavy trigger for very large avalanches on the slope below.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 5