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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Apr 12th, 2012–Apr 13th, 2012
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Northwest Coastal.

Confidence

Poor - Freezing levels are uncertain

Weather Forecast

Friday: Clouds and a few cm of snow, falling as rain below treeline. Freezing level around 1200 m. Light northerly winds.Saturday: Mainly cloudy, with sunny breaks. Some lingering light precipitation is possible in the morning, becoming dry by afternoon . Light, variable winds. Freezing level around 1200 m.Sunday: Mainly cloudy. Freezing level near 1500 m. Light winds, increasing from the SW by evening as a low pressure system approaches.

Avalanche Summary

Several natural glide avalanches were reported this week on E to SW aspects below treeline, in the size 2-3.5 range. Wet loose avalanches up to size 2.5 were also observed in response to warming and sunshine. Last week, a large icefall triggered a slab in the Bear Pass area, creating a size 4 avalanche.

Snowpack Summary

Glide cracks have opened up and pose the threat of large, full-depth releases, especially on steep rocky terrain features at low elevations. Otherwise, a relatively strong and deep spring snowpack exists, which becomes weak during periods of warm weather or rainfall. Recently, a lack of overnight freezing below about 1500m has left the snowpack weak. Large cornices and ice cliffs pose a threat from above. Pockets of dry snow and surface hoar may still be found on high north aspects. Areas of wind slab may exist near ridge crests.

Avalanche Problems

Wet Slabs

Warm temperatures or rain may continue to weaken surface snow, especially below treeline. Wet slides can push you around, entrain mass and become surprisingly large. Avoid traveling on or underneath any slopes which sport glide cracks.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 7

Cornices

Overhead hazards including cornices and ice cliffs can act as a heavy trigger for very large avalanches on the slope below.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 5