Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 15th, 2022 3:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada Mikey, Avalanche Canada

Good skiing can be found at all elevations. The recent winds have created reactive wind slabs in the alpine, so route finding is the key to a safe day.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate -

Weather Forecast

Wednesday: Mainly cloudy with a chance of light flurries. The morning will start out at -9c and warm up to -5c in the alpine. Winds are expected to be from the West at 40-50km/hr. The freezing level is forecast to be at 2100m.

Avalanche Summary

One size 1.5 slab avalanche was observed on the north aspect of Commonwealth peak. It was about 30-40cm deep.

Snowpack Summary

5cm of new snow brings the storm snow to around 25cm. In the alpine, there is a 20-35cm soft wind slab that is producing moderate test results and a concern for triggering. The winds were moderate and variable on Tuesday, so expect to find these wind slabs on most aspects. The Feb 19 interface(hard wind slab and crust on solar aspects) is down about 40-60cm in the Commonwealth area and is more of a concern on solar aspects. Moist snow was observed below 2000m.

Terrain and Travel

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Be alert to conditions that change with elevation and wind exposure.
  • Wind slabs may be poorly bonded to the underlying crust.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Continuing snow, wind and warm temps will continue to build wind slabs at treeline and above.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Carefully evaluate the bond with the Feb 19th crust down 40 to 70cm. Recent wind loading will make this problem more reactive, as will periods of intense solar input.  

Aspects: South East, South, South West, West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Valid until: Mar 16th, 2022 3:00PM