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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 27th, 2016–Jan 28th, 2016
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Little Yoho.

Strong winds and new snow forecast for Thursday. Pay attention to changing conditions.

Weather Forecast

Strong westerly winds, freezing levels up to 1900 m, and 10-15 cm of new snow forecast for Thursday. Friday will bring cooling temperatures, light winds, and isolated flurries.

Snowpack Summary

30-50 cm of new snow overlies the January 6 weak layer which is surface hoar between 1500 and 2000 m and facets above this. Natural and explosive triggered avalanches have been observed on this layer in the past 48 hours. Strong westerly winds on Wednesday night have created fresh wind slabs at and above treeline. A rain crust exists below 1500 m

Avalanche Summary

Fresh avalanches in the alpine (up to size 2.5) have been observed in the Field and Emerald Lake area.

Monday's avalanche control work in Kootenay resulted in widespread avalanches between size 2 and 3 with fracture lines ranging from 25-50 cm deep failing on the Jan 6th layer of surface hoar and facets.

Confidence

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

With the incoming wind and precipitation, we can expect touchy conditions on lee features at treeline and above. These windslabs may trigger deeper persistent layers resulting in a larger avalanche.

  • Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading has created wind slabs.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Persistent Slabs

The new snow is settling into a 30- 50 cm slab above the Jan. 6th surface hoar and facet layer. This layer is surface hoar between 1500 and 2000m and facets at higher elevations. Pit test indicate that this layer is reactive to skier triggering.

  • Avoid open slopes and convex rolls at and below treeline where buried surface hoar may be preserved.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3