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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 14th, 2015–Dec 15th, 2015
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Little Yoho.

Conditions are generally excellent right now! The one thing to watch out for is the buried Dec. 3rd surface hoar between 1500 and 1850m. This is a strange situation for most backcountry skiiers as the danger is highest below treeline.

Weather Forecast

We are under the influence of a ridge of high pressure for the next few days. Expect to see clearing skies through the week, minimal snow and light NW winds. Temperatures will remain cool in the -10 to -20 range. No inputs to significantly change the danger rating or ski conditions are expected.

Snowpack Summary

In sheltered terrain between 1500m and 1850m, a 40-50cm soft slab sits over the large December 3rd surface hoar. This layer continues to produce whumphs and easy shears where it is present. No other significant shears have been observed. In the high alpine isolated wind slabs may exist, but will settle out over the next few days.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches observed today in our forecast area.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

A 40 -50cm soft slab sits over the Dec 3 surface hoar in many sheltered location between 1500 m and 1850m. Continue to treat all steep open slopes below tree line with suspicion until you can rule out this weak layer.

  • Avoid open slopes and convex rolls at and below treeline where buried surface hoar may be preserved.
  • Dig down to find and test weak layers before committing to a line.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, South West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2