Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 2nd, 2013 9:41AM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Storm Slabs and Wind Slabs.

pgoddard, Avalanche Canada

Northwest Inland.

Summary

Confidence

Fair - Due to limited field observations

Weather Forecast

Sunday: No snow expected. Sunny breaks. Light winds. Freezing level around 700 m.Monday: No snow. Sunny breaks. Light winds. Freezing level around 800 m.Tuesday: No snow. Light winds. Freezing level 100 m.

Avalanche Summary

A natural cycle to size 2.5 was reported from last week's storm. Small (size 1) soft slab avalanches could be triggered in response to ski-cutting at treeline on north aspect slopes through the whole week. On Thursday, a size 1.5 avalanche was human-triggered below treeline on a north aspect running on a melt-freeze crust.

Snowpack Summary

Recent storm snow amounts are 30-50 cm in the west of the region and more like 10 cm in the east. Strong southwest winds have formed touchy wind slabs in exposed terrain in the lee of ridges, gully side walls, and behind terrain features. There are a variety of old interfaces now down 60 - 100cm which include facets, crusts and isolated pockets of surface hoar. Recent observations indicate that these weaknesses have bonded fairly well now, but I still suggest digging and testing the snowpack to confirm.A strong mid-pack currently overlies a weak base layer of facets/depth hoar. It is worth noting that the snowpack in general is quite shallow in northern and eastern parts of the region. Triggering the basal weakness may still be possible from thin spots, rocky outcrops or under the weight of larger triggers such as cornice fall.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm slabs may remain in the west and the south of the region where there were deeper recent snow amounts. Watch for snow weakening on sun-warmed slopes.

Avoid sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong, especially if snow is moist or wet.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1 - 4

Wind Slabs

Strong winds throughout the region have set up wind slabs in the lee of ridges and terrain features. Watch also for growing cornices.

Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>Give cornices a wide berth when travelling on or below ridges.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 5

Valid until: Mar 3rd, 2013 2:00PM