Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Dec 17th, 2023 2:00PM
The alpine rating is , the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.
Dvonk,
Avalanche Canada
Although the danger rating has dropped to M/M/L, the thin, generally weak and shallow snowpack is not to be trusted. Supported and low angle terrain are still your best bet for linking a couple turns here and there.
Summary
Confidence
Avalanche Summary
A road patrol today showed no new avalanches in the Spray area.
Snowpack Summary
Although there are windslabs out there, with no new snow and fetches being stripped dry, they have built as much as they can and are losing sensitivity at this point. Up to treeline, expect to encounter a rain crust down 20-30cm that formed in an early December storm. So far failures on this crust have been few, but as it develops we expect this layer to become a common bed surface for avalanches. A surface hoar layer is also found up to treeline beneath this crust that was producing moderate results in snowpack tests. Deeper in the snowpack a weak basal layer persists that was a thin melt freeze crust in some areas, or just weak basal facets and depth hoar. Thin areas are still common places to trigger these windslabs which are likely to propagate across a feature so keep this in mind as you travel.
Weather Summary
Sunday night will cool to -7 and winds will be steady out of the West at 35km/h.
Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. No snow to speak of and freezing levels to rise to 2000m (Spray road elevation is 1800m)
Winds will continue to from the SW at 25km/h
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Approach lee and cross-loaded slopes with caution.
- Avoid rock outcroppings, convexities, and anywhere the snowpack is thin and/or variable.
- Watch for areas of hard wind slab on alpine features.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Wind slabs/ old windslabs are present in almost all lee and cross-loaded features. Human triggering is still a concern.
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Persistent Slabs
Be mindful of the weak layers towards the base of the snowpack. Thin rocky areas may propagate out to thicker areas.
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Dec 18th, 2023 4:00PM
