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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 20th, 2023–Mar 21st, 2023
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold

Hazard is improving as temperatures drop down to the valley bottom but be mindful that deep instabilities are still present.

Use caution around wind loaded terrain where windslab may be reactive to skier traffic.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Sunday, a suspected skier triggered avalanche was reported. This was a size 1 storm slab avalanche that likely occurred on Saturday.

Through the weekend we continued to receive reports of evidence of large storm slab and wind slab avalanches, size 2-3, in both Haines Pass and White Pass. These avalanches may have occurred during the storm or due to solar input and elevated freezing levels through the weekend.

If you head out in the backcountry, let us know what you are seeing by submitting a report to the Mountain Information Network.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 50 cm of storm snow at White Pass and +50 cm at Haines Pass from last week has settled rapidly with warm temperatures. Storm totals taper inland in both regions. Local wind patterns have varied from southerly in White Pass to easterly in Haines Pass, building wind slabs in exposed lee terrain. This overlies previously wind affected snow (sastrugi) in exposed areas and faceted snow in sheltered features.

A buried weak layer of surface hoar can be found about 80 cm deep in Powder Valley, Tutshi, and Paddy Peak areas, 150 to 200 cm around White Pass and 80-200 cm deep in Haines Pass. This layer is most prominent on northerly slopes sheltered from the wind. On other aspects, this layer is a hard melt-freeze crust with weak facets around it. This layer has been most problematic in alpine terrain.

The remainder of the middle of the snowpack is consolidated and strong. Weak faceted grains are found near the base of the snowpack, particularly in thin snowpack areas.

Weather Summary

Monday Night

Cloudy with isolated flurries, 1-3 cm accumulation. Moderate southwest winds. Alpine temperature low -6°C. Freezing levels drop to valley bottom.

Tuesday

Mainly cloudy. Strong southwest winds. Alpine temperature high -7°C. Freezing levels valley bottom.

Wednesday

Cloudy with isolated flurries, 1-3 cm accumulations. Strong southwest winds. Alpine temperature high -4°C. Freezing levels 600 m.

Thursday

Cloudy with isolated flurries, trace accumulations. Strong south winds. Alpine temperature high -3°C. Freezing levels 800 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Fresh wind slabs will likely form throughout the day, diligently watch for changing conditions.
  • Be carefull around freshly wind loaded features.
  • Be careful with wind slabs, especially in steep, unsupported and/or convex terrain features.
  • Avoid steep, rocky, and wind effected areas where triggering slabs is more likely.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind slabs formed by storm snow and southeast winds linger on north and west facing terrain features. Though natural avalanche activity has tapered off they remain possible to human trigger.

Observe the wind loading pattern in the area as you move through the terrain, southwest winds Tuesday will redistribute available snow into fresh wind slabs in lees through the day.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South West, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

A weak layer of surface hoar and/or faceted grains around a hard crust sit in the mid snowpack. This layer is buried around 80 cm in the eastern portions of the region and up to 200 cm around White Pass and Haines Pass.

This layer has previously produced widely propagating avalanches in alpine terrain and it is capable of being remotely triggered from a distance. The most likely area for riders to trigger it is in wind-sheltered, north-facing terrain, and in rocky terrain where the snowpack is thin.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3