Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Northwest Coastal.
Confidence
High -
Weather Forecast
We'll have unsettled conditions in the wake of Tuesday's awesome storm. WEDNESDAY: Cloudy. Ridge wind moderate to strong from the north / west. Temperature -5. Freezing level 400m.THURSDAY: Snow in the afternoon (5cm). Ridge wind strong from the west. Temperature -6. Freezing level valley bottom.FRIDAY: Cloudy. Ridge wind moderate to strong from the north / west. Temperature -5. Freezing level 400m.
Avalanche Summary
We haven't received reports (yet) but we anticipate a widespread natural avalanche cycle occurred on Tuesday.
Snowpack Summary
Phenomenal snowfall amounts occurred on Tuesday, with 40-50cm falling in a 12 hour period near Terrace! Combine that with strong north west winds and temperatures near zero... it's a perfect recipe for widespread large destructive avalanches. All this new snow sits on a wide array of surfaces - either wind scoured from strong and variable winds from the long weekend, or fresh wind slabs at higher elevations on lee (downwind) slopes. Beneath the storm snow lies a 5-20 cm thick crust that was buried early February and can be found 60-110 cm below the surface on all aspects up to 1400 m. A weak layer buried in mid-January is 120-150 cm below the surface and remains a concern. In most areas this layer is a crust, but it may also be surface hoar in sheltered areas at tree line and below. This layer may remain reactive as it adjusts to the weight of the new snow.In thinner snowpack areas (north and inland), deeper crust / surface hoar layers that were buried in December and early January may still be a concern. They are buried over 150 cm below the surface, but could still be reactive and triggered from shallow spots.
Avalanche Problems
Storm Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Very Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 3.5
Persistent Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 2.5 - 4