Persistent Slabs
- Alpine
- Treeline
- Below treeline
- Likelihood
- Possible
- Size
- 2–3
Triggering a large avalanche remains possible on many wind-affected middle and upper elevation slopes. Unfortunately, the snowpack has weak interfaces both in the upper half (mostly around crusts) and more deeply buried (weak sugary facets) that avalanched naturally during the snowfall and wind events a few days ago. These lingering weak layers take time to heal.
Direct feedback from the snowpack (such as cracking and collapsing) continues to decrease, and it feels as though we've entered that liminal space where the first sign of instability you may receive is triggering a large avalanche. These destructive avalanches are most likely to be triggered in windy and/or rocky areas where the snowpack depth is variable and in more sheltered terrain where the snowpack depth is around 3 feet deep (like we found yesterday outside Baldy). Avoidance is still the best option to reduce your risk, especially on wind-loaded slopes. Assume the slab + potential weak layer setup exists on all slopes until you dig in the snow to prove otherwise.
(12/28/2025)
Large natural avalanche observed in the N Fork of the Big Wood - Amber Gulch on a SE slope at 10,200 ft.
Photo: Lundy, Scrivner