Avalanche forecast

Central Sierra Nevada

Sierra Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low
Out of date — this forecast expired 8 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

Avalanche danger has risen to MODERATE danger near treeline and above treeline. Increased SW winds last night may have created new wind slabs and loaded the Dec 4 buried surface hoar layer. LOW avalanche danger exists below treeline.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1

    SW winds increased last night and became just strong enough to move snow. Plenty of unconsolidated snow existed along the ridgetops and was available for redistribution through wind transport. A fair bit of uncertainty exists as to the depth and extent of newly formed wind slabs. Any areas where new wind slabs have been deposited on top of the Dec 4 buried surface hoar layer could be very problematic. The vast majority of new wind slabs are expected near treeline and above treeline on NW-N-NE-E-SE aspects. Avalanche size in isolated areas could be large enough to bury a person (size D2), but is mostly expected to be too small to bury a person (size D1).

    Look for signs of newly wind drifted snow in the form of wind pillows, wind textured snow surfaces, and cornice formation. Carefully evaluate slopes before committing. Keep in mind that a surface hoar weak layer may fail on lower angle slopes than a more typical uncomplicated wind slab. Avalanches may be triggered lower on a slope than usual and propagation may be quite wide. If evidence pointing to safe conditions is limited and uncertainty remains, opt for more wind protected terrain. Simply avoiding all wind affected areas is an easy way to manage today's avalanche problem.

Avalanche Discussion

* Observations made yesterday on West Grouse (Ward canyon area) and on Tamarack Peak (Mount Rose area) matched well with other recent observations from around the forecast area showing the Dec 4 surface hoar layer buried within the top 3 to 6 inches of the snowpack in many but not all areas.

* Snowpit tests performed in the West Grouse area similating a 4 inch new slab load on top the the existing snowpack created easy failure and propagation along the Dec 4 surface hoar layer on both NE and SE aspects.

* Decent snow coverage exists above 7,000' to 7,500' along the Sierra Crest with the best coverage in the northern and far southern Sierra Crest portions of the forecast area.  Snow coverage declines to the east.  Early season conditions exist.

Regions covered