Loose Wet
- Alpine
- Treeline
- Below treeline
- Likelihood
- Possible
- Size
- 1–2
Competing weather factors, such as an uncertain cloud forecast and strong winds, will make it tougher than usual to pin down the likelihood of a wet loose avalanche. Periods of clear skies may allow a new surface crust to form overnight.
What we can say is that a mild night will lead into another mild day with mid-mountain temperatures once again expected to push 50F degrees on Tuesday. Mid and lower elevations slopes that see sunshine will be the first to soften, although you may find wet snow on shady aspects as well. You'll find firmer, wind-textured snow on lee aspects on the upper mountain generally above treeline, interspersed between patches of wind-stripped surfaces, including ice and rock.
If you find yourself sinking into wet, manky snow, up to your ankles, it's time to move off of steep slopes and/or to a different aspect. Natural wet loose avalanches may shed below cliff bands, or if triggered by cornice fall. If you see signs of wet snow falling, you know the instability is increasing. While most loose wet avalanches will be small, they can cause trouble around terrain traps, like gullies or cliff bands. Finally, if things really get manky and you're stepping into your knees in wet snow; the tables are set for a slide to start small and grow large and powerful by entraining wet snow underneath.
We've removed wind slab from the problem list but if you're heading to the mountain's highest reaches, you may encounter drier snow and wind slabs.
(3/16/2026)
Tiny chunks of cornice were able to trigger rollerballs on an E aspect at 6400' by mid-day Monday. Signs like this on Tuesday point to favorable conditions for wet loose avalanches on similar slopes.
Photo: Ryan Matz