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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 6th, 2014–Feb 7th, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kootenay Boundary.

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Confidence

Fair - Wind effect is extremely variable

Weather Forecast

Tonight and Friday: The ridge bringing cold and dry conditions is still present but is weakening. A weak disturbance over the region is generating a chance of precipitation overnight. Expect light to moderate NE winds and temperatures around -10 C.Saturday:  Sky is expected to clear again, light winds from the E and temperatures around -9 C.Sunday: Very similar situation is forecasted for Sunday except wind speed increasing from the NW.

Avalanche Summary

There has been several reports of skier triggered slab avalanches size 1 lee of recent Easterly winds and of loose dry avalanches in steep terrain.

Snowpack Summary

Recent strong E winds have scoured windward alpine faces and created hard windslabs on lee and cross-loaded features in the alpine and at treeline. The windslab problem is sticking around longer than usual because of the prolonged cold temperatures and because the windslabs are sitting on a widespread surface hoar layer or on a suncrust on S facing slopes. Hence, the windslabs or loose snow in sheltered terrain are still reactive to skier traffic. The mid snowpack is strong and supportive. Deeper persistent layers have become unlikely to trigger, although large and destructive avalanches are still possible in isolated terrain with the right input such as a cornice fall or a heavy load over a thin spot in steep terrain.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.