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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 4th, 2013–Jan 5th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Coast.

It's worth noting that the weather forecast has changed and a storm is now expected this weekend.

Confidence

Fair - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather is uncertain

Weather Forecast

Saturday: Moderate S winds. Alpine temperature near -5. Around 5-15 cm snow. Highest amounts around Allison Pass and the Coquihalla.Sunday: Moderate SW winds. Alpine temperature near -5. 10-15 cm snow.Monday: Light SW winds, changing to NW. Alpine temperature near -7.  Very light snow.

Avalanche Summary

A skier triggered a small hard slab on Wednesday and was knocked off his feet. Glide slabs have been releasing in steep smooth rocky terrain. Otherwise, there has been little recent avalanche activity.

Snowpack Summary

Wind slabs overlie a generally settled snowpack, with no significant weak layers reported in the upper or mid snowpack. Current surfaces include surface hoar, sun crusts and facets. These may provide a weak interface with forecast snowfall. Near the base of the snowpack, a crust/facet layer appears to be inactive. However, it still produces sudden shears in snowpack tests in isolated areas, especially in the northern part of the region. Although unlikely, triggering an avalanche on this layer is possible from thin snowpack areas or with a very heavy trigger.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.