Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 16th, 2017 6:31PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Wind Slabs, Persistent Slabs and Loose Wet.

Avalanche Canada brian webster, Avalanche Canada

Potential for large avalanches persist. Conservative route choices remain the theme of the day. Iceclimbers should pay attention to freezing levels and adjust there route choices accordingly.

Summary

Weather Forecast

Friday will be mainly cloudy with some isolated flurries. Freezing levels will be around 1300m and the winds will be moderate from the west. There will be a continued cooling trend for Saturday.

Snowpack Summary

10-20 cm of fresh snow (at treeline) and up to 50 cm of storm snow in the past week have formed a cohesive slab overtop of a series of weak layers. Test results show sudden shear failures on these layers. Moderate SW winds have created fresh wind slabs on lee aspects at treeline and above. Below 1800 m the snowpack is moist from rain event on Thur.

Avalanche Summary

Warm temps and rain below 1800m in Field on Thursday triggered a loose wet avalanche cycle at lower elevations. Avalanches up to size two were observed running over several of the ice climbs on Mt Dennis. A Class 3 avalanche occurred in past few days on Emerald Lake slide path.

Confidence

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Fresh snow and recent wind has created fresh wind slabs in alpine and open terrain near treeline.

  • If triggered the storm/wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 3

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

The recent snow has created a touchy slab over several weak interfaces in the mid-pack. Avalanches that have run full path have been observed in many areas.

  • Use conservative route selection, choose moderate angled and supported terrain with low consequence.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

2 - 3

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

Loose wet avalanches were observed on Thursday below 1900m. Despite cooler temperatures forecast for Friday this still may be a problem at lower elevations. Pay attention to day-time temperatures.

  • Use extra caution on slopes if the snow is moist or wet.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Feb 17th, 2017 4:00PM