Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 9th, 2021 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Adam Greenberg,

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Although we have not seen any in the park, recent large avalanches have been reported in neighbouring areas failing on deep weak layers. Dial back your terrain choices and avoid large overhead hazard, particularly slopes capped with cornices.

Summary

Weather Forecast

Mainly cloudy with flurries through the next three days. Winds will increase on Saturday night and continue through the next few days at least, reaching up to 115km/h at ridgetop on Monday. The inversion we have been experiencing will break down Sunday night, with alpine highs sitting around -4.

Snowpack Summary

Surface hoar is growing in most areas, but should be blown away by incoming winds. Upper elevations are heavily wind affected, and have recently grown throughout the park. The Dec 9th crust has not been reactive in the Waterton Region as of yet, but large triggers may awaken this weakness. Areas east of the divide hold a thin & faceted snowpack.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches observed in Saturday, but surrounding regions have reported sporadic large cornice triggered avalanches failing on deep weak layers in alpine terrain.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Windslabs continue to be a problem in immediate lee and cross loaded features. If triggered they may have the potential to step down to deeper weak layers

  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.
  • Watch for shooting cracks or stiffer feeling snow. Avoid areas that appear wind loaded.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Deep weak layers are sporadically waking up in surrounding areas causing large avalanches. Take a conservative approach to terrain, and avoid passing under large slopes; particularly those capped by cornices.

  • Minimize exposure to overhead hazard from cornices.
  • Avoid convexities or areas with a thin or variable snowpack.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

2 - 3

Valid until: Jan 12th, 2021 4:00PM