Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Feb 6th, 2023 3:30PM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeHazard levels at Treeline and above could trend towards HIGH if the region receives more snow than what is forecasted. Keep an eye on local conditions and adjust terrain choice accordingly.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
Nothing new reported or observed.
Snowpack Summary
Expected extreme winds and light snowfalls on Tuesday could change the surface snowpack conditions. Expect even more wind slabs to develop (or add to existing hard slabs) in the Alpine. At treeline watch for fresh surface wind slabs to develop through the day.
The rest of the snowpack has seen little change for weeks now. The concerning facets and depth hoar in the lower snowpack still exist, and while the mid-pack has enough density to carry the weight of a skier above 2100m, this is not necessarily the case at lower elevations.
Overall the snowpack condition of stiff and dense wind slabs on the surface, a reasonably dense mid-pack, all sitting on the "house of cards" of deeply buried weak layers, is still a recipe for concern. Full depth avalanches are still possible, especially where thin/shallow/rocky start zones are the potential trigger point.
Weather Summary
Tuesday will be cloudy with temps reaching -5C and light snow developing in the afternoon. Between 5 and 15cm are forecasted, but most models agree on lower amounts. Winds will be extreme and could be blowing at 100km/h out of the SW at ridgetop.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Avoid shallow, rocky areas where the snowpack transitions from thick to thin.
- Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
- Be aware of the potential for surprisingly large avalanches due to deeply buried weak layers.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Strong winds over the past few days has made wind slabs in the upper snowpack more reactive. In addition, a pulse of light snow and extreme winds arrives Tuesday. Fresh thin wind slabs could be more reactive to natural and human triggering on Tuesday.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Deep Persistent Slabs
Thin areas are where this layer will be easiest to trigger. Be thinking about wide propagations as the snowpack above is more cohesive than before.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Feb 7th, 2023 4:00PM