Avalanche Forecast

Fair - Due to limited field observations

Synopsis: A weak frontal system is forecast to move through on Friday night and into Saturday. Conditions should begin to dry out and clear on Sunday and Monday as a ridge of high pressure forms.Saturday: Cloudy with light snow – 5-10 cm. The freezing level is around 1000 m. Winds are moderate from the south-southeast. Sunday: Sunny breaks. The freezing level rises to 1400m during the day and winds are light from the north. Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. The freezing level is steady around 1400-1500 m.

Solar induced avalanche activity tapered off over the past couple days as temperatures cooled slightly. Previous activity included loose wet sluffs up to size 2 on steep sun-exposed slopes. Cornices and glide cracks continue to fail with some regularity.

5-10 cm of new snow sits on a variety of old snow surfaces including a melt-freeze crust, moist snow, sugary facets, and wind affected snow. Pockets of wind slab could develop in exposed lee terrain over the next several days. 30 - 60 cm of snow overlies a crust, old wind slabs or surface hoar layer buried on March 9th. The distribution of the surface hoar is also highly variable and it does not exist in every drainage. I would still remain cautious and continue to dig and test before diving into my line. Deeper in the snowpack, basal facets may resurface as a concern with continued mild temperatures.Cornices have become well-developed and could easily become unstable during periods of warm weather or direct solar radiation.